When the Math Stops Working
In Session Weekly: Insolvency alerts, labor pressure, and federal reshuffling expose structural cracks across K–12 systems
In Session Weekly: Weekly Strategic Signals for K-12 Leaders Navigating Policy, Procurement, and Change
Finance & Budgets: State watchdog warns Sacramento City USD could run out of money within two years
Talent & Staffing: LAUSD’s largest classified union moves toward another strike just months after last shutdown
Policy & Politics: Senators warn shifting federal education programs could slow Title I and special ed support
Operations & Safety: AI-generated deepfake harassment emerges as a new school safety threat nationwide
Each section also includes ‘other signals on our radar.’
Write back and let us know if you’d like to see more details on any of those.
The next In Session Weekly will be published on January 5, 2026. Wishing all our readers happy holidays!
Every week, superintendents, CIOs, and senior school district leaders rely on The Session for clarity on the funding, policy, labor, and operational decisions shaping K–12 systems nationwide.
If your organization supports school districts navigating these same pressures, let’s discuss how we can connect you with this leadership audience through partnerships and visibility opportunities.
Click on the button below to schedule a meeting or email us at: director@intelligencecouncil.com
1. Finance & Budgets
Sacramento City USD insolvency risk flagged at 50.7% with major structural and governance findings
What Happened
Sacramento City Unified School District (SCUSD) has been placed on a fiscal distress “watch list” by state financial risk-monitoring agency FCMAT, with a 50.7% chance of insolvency within two years. FCMAT’s letter cited decades-long structural budget imbalance, overstaffing in relation to ADA, and delays in budget adoption and audit completion. The district was last bailed out by the state in 2002. The agency issued a rare specific warning about leadership gaps, noting the superintendent had resigned and the chief business officer position remains vacant. SCUSD has had four different CBOs in five years amid ongoing turnover.
Why It Matters
While other large districts are sweating potential fiscal cliffs, SCUSD is in full-blown risk territory. The system is burning through reserves to sustain staffing levels and meet collective bargaining increases, but that runway is narrowing. The FCMAT alert is a flashing red indicator that educated, long-term decisions are not being made consistently, and the few people who could make them keep leaving.
Implications for You
Structural imbalances like SCUSD’s rarely emerge overnight; they accumulate in systems where budget stopgaps are favored over long-term corrections and turnover erodes institutional memory.
Leaders in similar districts should revisit the assumption that ESSER funds “bought time,” as they masked deficits that now resurface as a looming insolvency.
Frequent CBO churn signals governance breakdown; expect state auditors and rating agencies to scrutinize leadership stability as a key solvency metric.
When finance teams are hollowed out in cost-cutting cycles, basics like audit timelines slip. That raises flags with regulators and can drive higher borrowing costs.
Other Signals on our Radar:
Trump administration abruptly cuts some community schools grants
The U.S. Department of Education has abruptly discontinued funding for more than a dozen community school projects two weeks before the next round of funding was scheduled to begin.
This is a direct signal of federal funding volatility and compliance risk: multi-year, competitively awarded grants can be interrupted with limited notice, creating immediate staffing disruption (positions funded via soft money), contract unwind issues with community partners, and mid-year program continuity problems.
2. Talent & Staffing
LAUSD classified staff union declares impasse and announces plans for strike vote
What Happened
SEIU Local 99, representing more than 30,000 cafeteria workers, custodians, bus drivers, and other classified staff in LAUSD, declared impasse in contract negotiations and is requesting a state mediator. The union wants an average 30% wage increase, equal pay for six-hour and eight-hour contract workers, and increased staffing to reduce workload. The district says it has offered a historic compensation package and disputes some of SEIU’s claims. The union, which struck last March, is planning a strike vote next week.
Why It Matters
The classified workforce is under renewed strain as inflation, low wages, and post-ESSER uncertainty hit a historically under-compensated group. SEIU asserts that LAUSD is not bargaining in good faith and is inflating the value of its offer by including funds not directly linked to the union’s demands. A second strike in two years from a key operational workforce would bring major logistical disruptions in the country’s second-largest school district and increase contract pressures across California.
Implications for You
A second strike compounds operational fragility; transportation, food service, and custodial gaps will hit hardest where districts are already thin.
Contract escalation at LAUSD resets the wage floor statewide; other urban districts should prepare for copycat demands in upcoming talks.
Extended impasses of this scale test crisis response playbooks; districts without pre-built contingency operating plans will feel it fast.
Failure to address workload distribution for classified staff reflects a broader strategic blind spot as these roles are foundational, not auxiliary.
Other Signals on our Radar:
San Francisco USD upgrades budget status, but structural deficits persist
San Francisco Unified School District improved its budget certification from “negative” to “qualified” after implementing ~$114M in cuts, largely from central office reductions and early retirement incentives. Despite the upgrade, SFUSD still projects multi-year unrestricted deficits and is planning an additional ~$102M in cuts for 2026–27.
A “qualified” status signals stabilization, not recovery. SFUSD’s trajectory shows that one-time fixes buy time but don’t resolve structural imbalance, setting up tougher political and operational tradeoffs ahead as districts exhaust low-impact levers and face renewed pressure on student-facing services.
3. Policy & Politics
Federal Education Program Transfers Trigger Senate Warning
What Happened
Senate Democrats formally warned that the Trump administration’s transfer of core U.S. Department of Education programs to other federal agencies could fragment oversight, dilute education-specific expertise, and slow delivery of services. Lawmakers argued that shifting responsibilities for programs like Title I, special education supports, and student services to agencies without deep K–12 infrastructure risks bureaucratic delays, inconsistent guidance, and weaker accountability for student protections.
Why It Matters
Federal program administration may become slower, less predictable, and harder to navigate. At the same time, districts are managing budget stress, compliance complexity, and staffing constraints.
Implications for You
Expect slower federal response times for grants, waivers, and compliance guidance as responsibilities are redistributed across agencies.
Prepare for confusion over points of contact, especially for Title I, IDEA, and student support programs previously centralized at ED.
Increase internal capacity for compliance tracking, as federal technical assistance and enforcement may be less consistent.
Plan conservatively around federal timelines, avoiding commitments that assume timely reimbursements or clarifications.
Brief boards early on federal instability to manage expectations around funding delays and shifting oversight rules.
4. Operations & Safety
Deepfake cyberbullying surges in schools
What Happened
AI-generated deepfake images of students are spreading in schools, with states responding through new laws targeting deepfakes involving minors. At least half of U.S. states enacted such legislation in 2025, and cases are increasing nationwide.
Why It Matters
This represents an emerging category of digital harm that traditional school safety and discipline policies aren’t designed to address. District leaders must expand safety frameworks, policy definitions, incident response, and support systems to cover AI-facilitated harassment.
Implications for You
Update cyberbullying policies to explicitly cover deepfakes and AI-generated abuse.
Train staff and students on recognizing and reporting AI-based cyber harm.
Budget for digital safety education and monitoring tools integrated into classroom tech.
Coordinate with legal counsel on liability and protection of student privacy.
In Session is a weekly intelligence brief for K-12 leaders navigating policy, procurement, and change, delivering high-impact developments shaping the U.S. market: what happened, why it matters, and what to do about it. Each issue distills complex shifts into decision-grade insight.
About The Intelligence Council
The Intelligence Council publishes sharp, judgment-forward intelligence for decision-makers in complex industries. Our weekly briefs, monthly deep dives, and quarterly sentiment indexes are built to help you grow your top-line and bottom-line, manage risk, and gain a competitive edge. No puff pieces. No b.s. Just the clearest signal in a noisy, complex world.